Looking Ahead: Favorable Pattern for More Snow followed by Arctic Air

As the current system moves out, we will be turning our attention to the next threat, which looks to be in the Sunday/Monday timeframe. While it is obviously far too early to worry about specifics, there is a fairly strong indication that another system will affect the east coast, followed by a shot of extremely cold Arctic air.

Here is the relevant text from the National Weather Service Forecast Discussion:

As such, most guidance has some semblance of measurable precipitation during the second half of the weekend, but there is a lot of spread as to how much. As usual, this will depend on the ultimate track and strength of low pressure. The ECMWF model continues to depict a more amplified solution, and its ensemble mean has trended up with probabilities for accumulating snow over the last several runs. This, combined with at least a loose clustering of low pressure tracks just off the Carolina coast from the NAEFS and near to below normal temperatures during this time would tend to support the threat of some wintry weather Sunday. 

Regardless of whether or not snow is observed, an outbreak of Arctic air will rush across the region early next week. Dangerously low wind chill temperatures would be likely in this scenario on Monday.

As mentioned, it is far too early to be concerned with specifics, but it is important to note that we may see more snowfall, followed by Arctic air into next week. Just to give you an idea of the magnitude of cold that may pour into our area, here is the temperature forecast for Monday morning from the European model, showing single digits for most of our state:

As always, I will provide more details and updates as the picture becomes clearer.