Forecast Update for Tonight – Thursday
Here is my updated forecast for the first wave of snowfall that will move through our area tonight into tomorrow: The latest trends have pushed this wave further north, bringing…
Preliminary Thoughts on Wed-Friday Event
Two relatively weak waves of low pressure riding along a stationary boundary to our south will bring periods of wintry precipitation to our area tomorrow evening into Friday. With cold air in place, and a strong high pressure to our north, most, if not all of the precipitation should fall as light snow. Snow should overspread the state from west to east during the late afternoon or early evening hours tomorrow, with periods of light snow lasting overnight, and winding down during the morning hours on Thursday.
There will then likely be a lull, as the second wave moves towards the area. The second round of steadier snowfall should move in Thursday evening, and last through the overnight into Friday morning.
Here is today’s 12z run of the European model, depicting the timing of the snowfall, entering the state tomorrow evening and ending Friday morning:
Another Winter Storm Threat Wednesday-Friday
As cold air settles in over the Eastern US, two waves of low pressure will likely bring a prolonged period of wintry precipitation to our area Wednesday through early Friday. It is too early to determine precipitation type, and how much snow will fall (especially given the recent model struggles), but trends are colder, and confidence is growing that we will see another round measurable snowfall over the latter half of this week.
No Updates to First Forecast – A Quick, Moderate Snowfall Likely Tomorrow
The latest model data has come in a bit drier with less intense precipitation rates, which is problematic for two reasons: obviously less moisture means less precipitation overall, but also,…
First Call Forecast – Moderate Snow Likely Sunday
Low pressure will develop across the southeastern US late tomorrow and intensify along the SE coast. The system will pass by to our southeast, during the early morning hours on…
Still Tracking Sunday Snow Chances
After trending away from a storm for our area this weekend, the latest runs of the major models have trended back to a potential snowy solution on Sunday. With such…
Looking Ahead: Favorable Pattern for More Snow followed by Arctic Air
As the current system moves out, we will be turning our attention to the next threat, which looks to be in the Sunday/Monday timeframe. While it is obviously far too…
Significant Snow on Tap Tomorrow – Monday: Forecast Update
Everything remains on track for the most significant snowfall we have seen in several years to begin tomorrow morning. The National Weather Service has issued Winter Storm Warnings, and snow…
Significant Snow Expected Sunday into Monday – First Call Forecast
A complex storm system will bring a significant snowfall to our state Sunday into Monday. Low pressure will move into the Ohio Valley Sunday, and die out as new low…
1/28/21: Significant Snowfall Likely Sunday-Monday
The models continue to show the potential for significant snowfall in our area starting Sunday morning, and possibly lasting into Tuesday. There remains some discrepancies between the models on duration,…