Hurricane Sandy Updates – 8:00pm Update

This blog post will be updated throughout the day today and tomorrow as needed with updates on the forecast of Hurricane Sandy.

Please check this post periodically for updates. I will also update Facebook with any new information.

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8:00pm Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state
-Coastal Flood Advisory for Western shore of Bay
-Coastal Flood Watch for counties along the Potomac
-Coastal Flood Warning for the Atlantic Beaches
-High Wind Watch for entire state

The Latest Stats (8:00pm):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 961mb (28.38″)
Moving NE @ 13mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 520 miles from the center.

Current Surface Map

No changes in strength or motion of Sandy with this update, although satellite imagery appears to show increase in convection near the center of the storm which would indicate a strengthening cyclone.

Current Satellite Image

Previous updates follow below…

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6:00pm Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state
-Coastal Flood Advisory for Western shore of Bay
-Coastal Flood Watch for counties along the Potomac
-Coastal Flood Warning for the Atlantic Beaches
-High Wind Watch for entire state

The Latest Stats (5:00pm):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 961mb (28.38″)
Moving NE @ 13mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 520 miles from the center.

Current Surface Map
Current Satellite
Current Wind Field
5:00pm Forecast Track

Current forecast remains on track. Expect rain to develop late tonight, becoming steadier tomorrow and heavier through the day tomorrow. Total rainfall of 5-10″ likely. Winds will gradually increase through the day tomorrow into tomorrow night when the strongest winds will begin.

From the High Wind Watch:

* TIMING…SUNDAY NIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR BETWEEN DAYBREAK MONDAY AND
DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

* WINDS…SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDNIGHT TUESDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME NORTHWEST AT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH TUESDAY.
FINALLY…WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS…A PROLONGED 24-TO-36 HOUR HIGH WIND EVENT WILL LIKELY
TAKE PLACE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. COUPLED WITH HEAVY RAINS FROM
SANDY…THE HIGH WINDS WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. RESIDENTS…VISITORS… AND BUSINESSES
ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD PLAN FOR WIDESPREAD POWER AND
COMMUNICATION OUTAGES.

The next update from the National Hurricane Center will be at 8:00pm.

Previous updates follow below…

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4:00pm Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state except Garrett, Washington and Allegany Counties

The Latest Stats (2:00pm):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 961mb (28.38″)
Moving NNE @ 11mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 450 miles from the center.

Current Surface Map
2:00pm Forecast Track
Current Satellite

No major changes to the intensity or forecast track of Sandy with this update. Previous forecast remains on track

The next update from the National Hurricane Center will be at 5pm. I will update this post after that time.

Previous updates follow below…

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11:00am Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state except Garrett, Washington and Allegany Counties

The Latest Stats (11:00am):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 958mb (28.29″)
Moving NNE @ 9mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 450 miles from the center.

Current Surface Map
11:00am Forecast Track
Current Satellite

No major changes to the intensity or forecast track of Sandy with this update.

The next update from the National Hurricane Center will be at 2pm. I will update this post after that time.

Previous update follows below…

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8:00am Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state except Garrett, Washington and Allegany Counties

The Latest Stats (8:00am):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 960mb (28.35″)
Moving NNE @ 10mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 450 miles from the center.

Sandy is expected to continue to move to the NE today and tomorrow before turning back towards the NW tomorrow night into Monday.

8:00am Forecast Track
The current NHC track has Sandy coming onshore near the Delaware Bay Monday night.

What does this mean for us?

There is still some disagreement in the eventual track of the storm amongst the models, but a general agreement that the track will be north of our area is becoming more apparent.

This means we will not be on the right (north/east) side of the storm and will therefore not have to deal with the major storm surge.

Current Satellite
Unfortunately, we will still have to deal with a very large storm that will bring very strong winds and heavy rainfall.

Currently it looks like rain and wind will gradually develop late tonight and into tomorrow. The rain will become heavy at times tomorrow as our winds increase to near 20mph.

The rain will continue tomorrow night into Monday as the winds increase to over 30mph.

As Sandy moves inland and becomes extra-tropical, it is expected that it will deepen rapidly and strengthen. Winds will increase to around 50mph Monday night and could gust over 60 on Tuesday.

The winds and rain should begin to decrease during the day on Tuesday, into Tuesday night.

Showers and gusty winds will still be possible Wednesday into Wednesday before the storm moves away from us.

The next update from the National Hurricane Center will be at 11am. I will update this post after that time.