Decreasing Clouds Today as Welcomed Quiet Stretch Begins

Current Surface Map
The remnants of Sandy continue to spin over Western New York state and will continue to push northward into Canada today.

Expect decreasing clouds today with high temperatures in the low to mid 50s.

Skies will remain mostly cloudy this evening, with temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s for Trick-or-Treating, dropping into the lower 40s overnight.

Expect a mix of clouds and sun Thursday and Friday with highs continuing in the low to mid 50s.

High pressure will push into the area on Saturday, leading to more sunshine and highs in the mid 50s.

Hurricane Sandy Updates – 8:00pm Update

This blog post will be updated throughout the day today and tomorrow as needed with updates on the forecast of Hurricane Sandy.

Please check this post periodically for updates. I will also update Facebook with any new information.

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8:00pm Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state
-Coastal Flood Advisory for Western shore of Bay
-Coastal Flood Watch for counties along the Potomac
-Coastal Flood Warning for the Atlantic Beaches
-High Wind Watch for entire state

The Latest Stats (8:00pm):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 961mb (28.38″)
Moving NE @ 13mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 520 miles from the center.

Current Surface Map

No changes in strength or motion of Sandy with this update, although satellite imagery appears to show increase in convection near the center of the storm which would indicate a strengthening cyclone.

Current Satellite Image

Previous updates follow below…

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6:00pm Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state
-Coastal Flood Advisory for Western shore of Bay
-Coastal Flood Watch for counties along the Potomac
-Coastal Flood Warning for the Atlantic Beaches
-High Wind Watch for entire state

The Latest Stats (5:00pm):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 961mb (28.38″)
Moving NE @ 13mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 520 miles from the center.

Current Surface Map
Current Satellite
Current Wind Field
5:00pm Forecast Track

Current forecast remains on track. Expect rain to develop late tonight, becoming steadier tomorrow and heavier through the day tomorrow. Total rainfall of 5-10″ likely. Winds will gradually increase through the day tomorrow into tomorrow night when the strongest winds will begin.

From the High Wind Watch:

* TIMING…SUNDAY NIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR BETWEEN DAYBREAK MONDAY AND
DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

* WINDS…SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDNIGHT TUESDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
BECOME NORTHWEST AT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH TUESDAY.
FINALLY…WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS…A PROLONGED 24-TO-36 HOUR HIGH WIND EVENT WILL LIKELY
TAKE PLACE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. COUPLED WITH HEAVY RAINS FROM
SANDY…THE HIGH WINDS WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. RESIDENTS…VISITORS… AND BUSINESSES
ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD PLAN FOR WIDESPREAD POWER AND
COMMUNICATION OUTAGES.

The next update from the National Hurricane Center will be at 8:00pm.

Previous updates follow below…

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4:00pm Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state except Garrett, Washington and Allegany Counties

The Latest Stats (2:00pm):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 961mb (28.38″)
Moving NNE @ 11mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 450 miles from the center.

Current Surface Map
2:00pm Forecast Track
Current Satellite

No major changes to the intensity or forecast track of Sandy with this update. Previous forecast remains on track

The next update from the National Hurricane Center will be at 5pm. I will update this post after that time.

Previous updates follow below…

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11:00am Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state except Garrett, Washington and Allegany Counties

The Latest Stats (11:00am):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 958mb (28.29″)
Moving NNE @ 9mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 450 miles from the center.

Current Surface Map
11:00am Forecast Track
Current Satellite

No major changes to the intensity or forecast track of Sandy with this update.

The next update from the National Hurricane Center will be at 2pm. I will update this post after that time.

Previous update follows below…

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8:00am Update:

Current Advisories:

-Flood Watch for the entire state except Garrett, Washington and Allegany Counties

The Latest Stats (8:00am):

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75mph – Category 1 Hurricane
Minimum Pressure: 960mb (28.35″)
Moving NNE @ 10mph

Tropical Storm force winds extend 450 miles from the center.

Sandy is expected to continue to move to the NE today and tomorrow before turning back towards the NW tomorrow night into Monday.

Sandy Taking Aim on the Delmarva

Current Surface Map
High pressure to our northeast is keeping the region in easterly flow. This has resulted in low clouds and areas of drizzle. A few breaks in the clouds are anticipated this afternoon allowing highs today to push into the low 70s.

Hurricane Sandy continues to be the focus of attention as we head into the weekend. Consensus is building that the storm will combine with the cold front to our west to have a significant impact on our area.

*The Setup*

The high pressure to our northeast will block and even steer Sandy towards the coast early next week. Meanwhile, Sandy continues to slow and grow in size. This is important to remember when looking at the path outlined by the National Hurricane Center. Sandy will likely be a very large in size and will bring significant impacts to a very large portion of the east coast regardless of the exact path.

Sandy is currently over the northern Bahamas and moving northwestward. Maximum sustained winds are now 80mph. This general motion and strength are expected to continue today before Sandy makes a gradual turn back towards the northeast tomorrow. This is due to the front to our west that will eventually absorb the system.

Current Forecast Track
As mentioned above, the movement to the northeast will be blocked by the high pressure off the New England coast. The high will steer Sandy back to the west where it will make landfall.

All Eyes Toward the Weekend

Current Surface Map
Easterly flow around an area of high pressure off New England has allowed fog and clouds to develop this morning. Meanwhile, Hurricane Sandy has strengthened to a Category 2 storm near Cuba.

The clouds due to moisture off the Atlantic will persist into the afternoon, keeping high temperatures in the low 70s.

Expect drizzle to develop tonight into tomorrow morning as easterly flow continues. There should be some partial clearing tomorrow afternoon with highs in the low 70s.

As Hurricane Sandy continues its northward trek, it will combine with the high to the north to maintain and enhance the easterly flow in our area. This will lead to a cloudy Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 60s.

Partly Sunny Today; Still Watching Sandy

Current Surface Map
A disturbance moving by to our north has brought high clouds to the area. The clouds will persist today, with some breaks this afternoon. Highs will be around 80 degrees.

High pressure off the New England coast will set up an easterly flow tomorrow. This will bring in more clouds and a chance of drizzle as we move towards tomorrow night. Highs tomorrow will be held down by the increase in clouds, topping out in the low 70s. Areas west of I-95 may push into the mid to upper 70s under more sunshine.

Friday looks like to be similar to Thursday. Partly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 70s.